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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677ndb1primmwesolyjasiu
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (888–469, n=1357)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)99% (1864–12, n=1876)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$4.2M$3.5M$9.4K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #150PM monthly #51PM monthly #638
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (35 of 47 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 1432 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)0% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)0% (won 40% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)99% (won 100% of 1422)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.