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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| joseph00677 | ndb1 | UnderperformingForALiving | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 40% (67–102, n=169) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $4.1M | $239K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #152 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 78% (29 of 37 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | NBA −24 pts, n=13 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 50% of 170 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 19% (won 16% of 32) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 27% (won 43% of 46) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 31% (won 60% of 52) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 24% (won 73% of 40) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | UnderperformingForALiving |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3.2K | Yes $4 |