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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | Vanchalkenstein | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) | 53% (285–250, n=535) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | $3.2M | $14.8M | -$1.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #106 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #585 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 74% (82 of 111 open) | 59% (64 of 108 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | NBA −3 pts, n=123 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 54% of 580 at avg 49¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 10% (won 24% of 58) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 47% (won 51% of 271) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 32% (won 60% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 11% (won 77% of 64) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.