PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ianf2026BreakTheBankbeachboy4CORGII
Record (consensus markets)61% (78–50, n=128)45% (501–606, n=1107)69% (43–19, n=62)63% (372–218, n=590)
Consensus PnL$45K$12.1M$5.8M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #641PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24PM monthly #162
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (24 of 33 open)100% (1 of 1 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +38 pts n=38, ROI +45%
  • Soccer +33 pts n=54, ROI +35%
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=91—
Settled positions, side won84% of 92 at avg 49¢, ROI +39%97% of 497 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)11% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢51% (won 81% of 47)34% (won 98% of 169)29% (won 56% of 62)55% (won 99% of 209)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 89% of 44)34% (won 99% of 170)54% (won 52% of 114)34% (won 100% of 127)
Entries 70¢ and up0%21% (won 100% of 105)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.