PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gm-gg-gnLuckyWinNiNo999texaskid
Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (693–98, n=791)88% (488–65, n=553)66% (367–187, n=554)
Consensus PnL—$29K$9.7M$7.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #923was PM monthly #579was PM monthly #985was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
Weakest topic—NBA −7 pts, n=48—College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29
Settled positions, side won—88% of 738 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 8% of 48)7% (won 81% of 37)1% (won 0% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 44% of 32)39% (won 85% of 197)26% (won 68% of 148)
Entries 50–70¢—7% (won 56% of 48)49% (won 94% of 244)69% (won 78% of 392)
Entries 70¢ and up—83% (won 99% of 610)5% (won 96% of 24)4% (won 87% of 23)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.