PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ggvipiCORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (385–233, n=618)45% (514–627, n=1141)
Consensus PnL—$4.5M$10.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #982 + pinnedPM monthly #83PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position70% (28 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMLB −2 pts, n=104——
Settled positions, side won53% of 2326 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 15% of 379)9% (won 91% of 35)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 44% of 622)56% (won 99% of 214)35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 61% of 910)34% (won 100% of 129)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 86% of 415)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.