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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ggA11xcrndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)100% (3–0, n=3)66% (876–458, n=1334)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL$23K$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #927PM monthly #26PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)74% (29 of 39 open)60% (72 of 121 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won100% of 3 at avg 65¢, ROI +29%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢0%20% (won 40% of 253)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢67% (won 100% of 2)24% (won 57% of 310)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 1)43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketggA11xcrndb1RN1
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa FC $19K—Aston Villa FC $10