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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fzol | notgoodluck | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (3–2, n=5) | 63% (209–125, n=334) | 45% (484–601, n=1085) | 56% (100–79, n=179) |
| Consensus PnL | $217K | -$49K | $9.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #80 | PM monthly #616 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 75% (27 of 36 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3 at avg 35¢, ROI +87% | 60% of 346 at avg 59¢, ROI −3% | 98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 96% of 100 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 67% (won 100% of 2) | 16% (won 14% of 56) | 11% (won 87% of 52) | 7% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 20% (won 36% of 70) | 34% (won 98% of 169) | 24% (won 96% of 24) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 100% of 1) | 29% (won 63% of 99) | 34% (won 99% of 170) | 44% (won 98% of 44) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 35% (won 92% of 121) | 21% (won 100% of 103) | 25% (won 96% of 25) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.