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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| fxwd12345 | aviato | franeotb | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 87% (1838–263, n=2101) | 65% (48–26, n=74) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $205K | $24K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #995 | PM monthly #976 + pinned | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 97% (61 of 63 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=418 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 89% of 2492 at avg 87¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 147 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 9% (won 8% of 213) | 7% (won 70% of 10) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 1% (won 27% of 30) | 12% (won 100% of 17) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 2% (won 66% of 44) | 31% (won 98% of 45) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 88% (won 98% of 2205) | 51% (won 100% of 75) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fxwd12345 | aviato | franeotb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $12 | Yes $5 |