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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)35% (3635–6656, n=10291)45% (10–12, n=22)66% (901–474, n=1375)69% (240–108, n=348)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$5.3M$4.5M$68K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #772PM monthly #2PM monthly #100PM monthly #195
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)no open consensus position73% (110 of 151 open)78% (29 of 37 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%76% of 334 at avg 73¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)12% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)11% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)9% (won 67% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)68% (won 91% of 228)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
——No $87KNo $3.4K