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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Thunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlkeeptheblueflagflyinghighHomeRunHazardrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18googleplay
| fantasy7788 | nigiri99 | paperclip-maxxer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (12–10, n=22) | 54% (312–261, n=573) | 100% (3–0, n=3) |
| Consensus PnL | $576K | $425K | $90K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #34 | PM monthly #135 | PM monthly #369 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 55% (50 of 91 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 11 at avg 48¢, ROI +54% | 65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 4 at avg 70¢, ROI +39% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 100% of 1) | 14% (won 32% of 72) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 45% (won 100% of 5) | 24% (won 55% of 121) | 25% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 4) | 44% (won 69% of 222) | 25% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 100% of 1) | 18% (won 98% of 89) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fantasy7788 | nigiri99 | paperclip-maxxer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.8K | Yes $1.5K |