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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788hedgevaultmainnet1HomeRunHazardrobustmst
Record (consensus markets)56% (5–4, n=9)60% (6–4, n=10)55% (216–179, n=395)42% (13–18, n=31)
Consensus PnL$421K-$2.4K$290K$208K
Tracked asPM monthly #43was PM monthly #813PM monthly #7PM monthly #28
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)56% (10 of 18 open)63% (72 of 115 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%—100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 100% of 1)—1% (won 100% of 1)0%
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 1)—32% (won 100% of 31)85% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 3)—57% (won 100% of 55)15% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—10% (won 100% of 10)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788hedgevaultmainnet1HomeRunHazardrobustmst
Hornets vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Hornets $3Suns $540—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Thunder $68Thunder $4.6K—
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $1.3KPistons $1.2K—