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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | NotJump | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 54% (208–178, n=386) | no settled market | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $421K | $230K | — | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #43 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #963 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 67% (108 of 162 open) | 72% (34 of 47 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | — | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | — | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | — | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | — | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | — | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | NotJump | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah vs. Golden Knights same side · consensus Golden Knights | — | Golden Knights $15K | Golden Knights $311 | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | — | Sacramento State $1.8K | Sacramento State $26 | — |
| Spread: Buffalo (-2.5) same side · consensus Buffalo | — | Buffalo $342 | Buffalo $38 | — |