Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788HomeRunHazardMD14Sakan1
Record (consensus markets)52% (16–15, n=31)53% (516–456, n=972)81% (22–5, n=27)no settled market
Consensus PnL$795K$362K$328K—
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #11PM monthly #116PM monthly #947
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (118 of 188 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)4% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)31% (won 100% of 70)13% (won 100% of 3)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)60% (won 100% of 135)21% (won 80% of 5)—
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 16)63% (won 100% of 15)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788HomeRunHazardMD14Sakan1
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $48KCavaliers $1.2K—