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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorpNdjdnrru33Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)52% (16–15, n=31)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)no settled market58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL$795K$501K$0$782K
Tracked asPM monthly #39PM monthly #13PM monthly #783was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)47% (81 of 172 open)100% (1 of 1 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%—92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)—8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)—58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)—33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)—0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.