PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
errormargin33648393489047TrunglBoomLaLa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (1140–647, n=1787)64% (420–239, n=659)66% (5377–2808, n=8185)
Consensus PnL—-$163K-$1.9K$644K
Tracked asPM monthly #723was PM monthly #982PM monthly #801PM monthly #717
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (5 of 9 open)100% (1 of 1 open)50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −12 pts, n=45——
Settled positions, side won—63% of 1774 at avg 62¢, ROI −1%93% of 455 at avg 69¢, ROI +21%85% of 4167 at avg 58¢, ROI +18%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 10% of 228)1% (won 33% of 3)7% (won 34% of 290)
Entries 30–50¢—15% (won 34% of 260)9% (won 82% of 39)35% (won 78% of 1465)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 64% of 582)40% (won 94% of 183)27% (won 92% of 1130)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 90% of 704)51% (won 96% of 230)31% (won 98% of 1282)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.