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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| e46m3 | gmpm2 | pbshine | SlavaUkraini | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 17% (155–752, n=907) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | no settled market | 87% (26–4, n=30) |
| Consensus PnL | $536K | $255K | — | $326K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #17 | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #107 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (313 of 426 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 31% (8 of 26 open) | 78% (7 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | — | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 11% of 46) | — | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 86% of 7) | — | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 75% of 8) | — | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 90% (won 100% of 565) | — | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | e46m3 | gmpm2 | pbshine | SlavaUkraini |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | — | No $1.6K | — |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | — | Yes $127 | — |