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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
e46m3gmpm2QuantumPebble673
Record (consensus markets)17% (156–789, n=945)100% (1–0, n=1)no settled market
Consensus PnL$536K$256K—
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #17PM monthly #947
Sides with the consensus73% (322 of 439 open)0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +45 pts n=124, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1174, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=146, ROI +19%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNFL −6 pts, n=17NBA −17 pts, n=33—
Settled positions, side won62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%57% of 527 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%—
Entries under 30¢38% (won 18% of 2197)4% (won 32% of 22)—
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 53% of 397)31% (won 45% of 163)—
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 71% of 531)46% (won 57% of 244)—
Entries 70¢ and up46% (won 97% of 2679)19% (won 85% of 98)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.