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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
e46m3fantasy7788KupaKeepKlanSineNooneEI
Record (consensus markets)17% (155–754, n=909)100% (2–0, n=2)no settled market97% (214–6, n=220)
Consensus PnL$536K$245K—$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #60PM monthly #730PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensus74% (316 of 429 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +45 pts n=124, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1174, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=146, ROI +19%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNFL −6 pts, n=17———
Settled positions, side won62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%100% of 116 at avg 55¢, ROI +44%—83% of 1141 at avg 54¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 18% of 2197)2% (won 100% of 2)—5% (won 62% of 61)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 53% of 397)31% (won 100% of 36)—35% (won 75% of 397)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 71% of 531)57% (won 100% of 66)—43% (won 88% of 492)
Entries 70¢ and up46% (won 97% of 2679)10% (won 100% of 12)—17% (won 95% of 191)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markete46m3fantasy7788KupaKeepKlanSineNooneEI
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $9—No $16K—