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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
e46m3fantasy7788Imbleciarjuice-fruit
Record (consensus markets)17% (155–754, n=909)100% (2–0, n=2)no settled market100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$536K$245K—$152K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #60Hand-pickedPM monthly #18
Sides with the consensus73% (315 of 429 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topicTech ±0 pts, n=36———
Settled positions, side won93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%———
Entries under 30¢7% (won 11% of 46)———
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 86% of 7)———
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 75% of 8)———
Entries 70¢ and up90% (won 100% of 565)———

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.