PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dribblingbanana69manekinekoVitaaalyaBoomLaLa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market87% (337–52, n=389)66% (72–37, n=109)66% (5377–2808, n=8185)
Consensus PnL—$76K$76K$644K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #707Hand-pickedHand-pickedPM monthly #711
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (9 of 12 open)71% (5 of 7 open)50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Politics −2 pts, n=55——
Settled positions, side won—86% of 444 at avg 85¢, ROI +1%62% of 233 at avg 54¢, ROI +1%85% of 4167 at avg 58¢, ROI +18%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 9% of 34)33% (won 21% of 76)7% (won 34% of 290)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 35% of 17)10% (won 26% of 23)35% (won 78% of 1465)
Entries 50–70¢—5% (won 63% of 24)15% (won 76% of 34)27% (won 92% of 1130)
Entries 70¢ and up—83% (won 97% of 369)43% (won 97% of 100)31% (won 98% of 1282)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdribblingbanana69manekinekoVitaaalyaBoomLaLa
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $21KNo $860—
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.6KNo $1.4K—