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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| dips. | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (292–141, n=433) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | -$54K | $421K | $290K | $152K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #605 | PM monthly #43 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #31 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (37 of 60 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 63% (73 of 116 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NFL −5 pts, n=11 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 146 at avg 63¢, ROI +8% | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 16% of 32) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 56% of 16) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 76% of 17) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 99% of 81) | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | dips. | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) same side · consensus Flyers | Flyers $15 | — | Flyers $2.6K | — |
| Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-34.5) same side · consensus Nebraska Cornhuskers | Lindenwood Lions $82 | — | Lindenwood Lions $773 | — |