PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
denver28RN1CORGII00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (11676–12428, n=24104)63% (372–218, n=590)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$4.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #487Hand-pickedPM monthly #161was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (9 of 13 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2452)9% (won 91% of 35)0%
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5319)55% (won 99% of 209)0%
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8623)34% (won 100% of 127)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7308)2% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.