PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
kingofcoinflipsmanekinekomylovewsolBoomLaLa
Record (consensus markets)31% (57–124, n=181)87% (337–52, n=389)49% (136–139, n=275)66% (5377–2808, n=8185)
Consensus PnL$354K$76K$13K$644K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #918Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #844PM monthly #711
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (9 of 12 open)no open consensus position50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +20 pts n=150, ROI −5%
Weakest topic—Politics −2 pts, n=55——
Settled positions, side won88% of 152 at avg 68¢, ROI +2%86% of 444 at avg 85¢, ROI +1%96% of 92 at avg 54¢, ROI +40%85% of 4167 at avg 58¢, ROI +18%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 23% of 22)8% (won 9% of 34)12% (won 91% of 11)7% (won 34% of 290)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 100% of 7)4% (won 35% of 17)15% (won 93% of 14)35% (won 78% of 1465)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 97% of 33)5% (won 63% of 24)65% (won 97% of 60)27% (won 92% of 1130)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 90)83% (won 97% of 369)8% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 98% of 1282)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.