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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| classified | lava-lava | Sassy-Bucket | Wiretransferxyz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (191–132, n=323) | 53% (149–134, n=283) | 33% (1–2, n=3) | 59% (296–204, n=500) |
| Consensus PnL | $783K | $1.1M | -$4.2M | $899K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #340 | PM monthly #108 | was PM monthly #524 | PM monthly #227 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (19 of 28 open) | 63% (39 of 62 open) | 33% (2 of 6 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=101 | Finance −17 pts, n=11 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2% | 49% of 276 at avg 45¢, ROI +2% | — | 59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 46% (won 4% of 152) | 34% (won 9% of 93) | — | 6% (won 17% of 29) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 47% of 15) | 23% (won 48% of 64) | — | 35% (won 46% of 171) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 78% of 23) | 20% (won 67% of 54) | — | 47% (won 66% of 233) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 98% of 144) | 24% (won 92% of 65) | — | 13% (won 89% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.