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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| classified | Kosherlocks | lava-lava | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (191–132, n=323) | no settled market | 53% (149–134, n=283) | 57% (293–219, n=512) |
| Consensus PnL | $783K | — | $1.1M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #341 | PM monthly #807 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #158 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (19 of 28 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 63% (39 of 62 open) | 73% (65 of 89 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=101 | — | Finance −17 pts, n=11 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2% | — | 49% of 276 at avg 45¢, ROI +2% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 46% (won 4% of 152) | — | 34% (won 9% of 93) | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 47% of 15) | — | 23% (won 48% of 64) | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 78% of 23) | — | 20% (won 67% of 54) | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 98% of 144) | — | 24% (won 92% of 65) | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | classified | Kosherlocks | lava-lava | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1 | — | Yes $12K |