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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| btmx6 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (16–0, n=16) | 45% (502–616, n=1118) | 69% (43–19, n=62) | 50% (13367–13520, n=26887) |
| Consensus PnL | $299K | $11.8M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #297 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #17 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 70% (23 of 33 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 70% (16 of 23 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=91 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +51% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 8% (won 58% of 840) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 71% (won 100% of 12) | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 21% (won 86% of 2168) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 100% of 5) | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 54% (won 52% of 114) | 38% (won 94% of 3916) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 99% of 3284) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | btmx6 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $252K | — | Yes $318 |