PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
brtesainttroplayCORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (10–4, n=14)63% (376–222, n=598)45% (501–606, n=1107)
Consensus PnL—$4.4M$4.4M$12.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #953was PM monthly #11PM monthly #168PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (16 of 16 open)no open consensus position60% (3 of 5 open)69% (24 of 35 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 89¢, ROI +11%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢0%0%9% (won 91% of 35)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢0%50% (won 100% of 5)55% (won 99% of 209)35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢0%50% (won 100% of 5)34% (won 100% of 128)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 8)0%2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbrtesainttroplayCORGIIBreakTheBank
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $34K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $10K——No $1.5K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0K——Yes $2.8K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.9K——Yes $248K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $3.9K——No $36K