PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
brokemaxdegenRock.Sanno1yetLonnieHawkins
Record (consensus markets)no settled market94% (7221–482, n=7703)95% (111–6, n=117)49% (1265–1326, n=2591)
Consensus PnL—$142K$37K$331K
Tracked asPM monthly #895was PM monthly #998was PM monthly #997 + pinnedPM monthly #114
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MMA +7 pts n=51, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +17 pts n=11, ROI +41%
none with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +11 pts n=1124, ROI +8%
  • NHL +8 pts n=15, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—Crypto −1 pts, n=2254Geopolitics −1 pts, n=28—
Settled positions, side won67% of 70 at avg 59¢, ROI +12%94% of 6252 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%96% of 140 at avg 97¢, ROI 0%77% of 1140 at avg 66¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 40% of 5)4% (won 6% of 268)0%16% (won 31% of 184)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 30% of 10)1% (won 33% of 83)1% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 60% of 146)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 71% of 38)2% (won 62% of 112)2% (won 67% of 3)17% (won 77% of 192)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 88% of 17)93% (won 99% of 5789)97% (won 98% of 136)54% (won 94% of 618)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.