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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
boyauKev69cubsfan333darkumbreon88
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (622–445, n=1067)66% (102–52, n=154)66% (1624–844, n=2468)
Consensus PnL—$61K$29K-$6.7K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #776was PM monthly #845was PM monthly #995was PM monthly #833
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 1 open)67% (8 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +35 pts n=132, ROI +39%
  • NHL +32 pts n=52, ROI +32%
  • Soccer +28 pts n=127, ROI +28%
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=79, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=199, ROI +31%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—82% of 847 at avg 59¢, ROI +22%83% of 140 at avg 51¢, ROI +37%100% of 1444 at avg 69¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 37% of 76)2% (won 33% of 3)1% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 30–50¢—18% (won 72% of 156)44% (won 75% of 61)9% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 50–70¢—42% (won 89% of 358)48% (won 91% of 67)38% (won 100% of 552)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 257)6% (won 89% of 9)51% (won 100% of 743)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketboyauKev69cubsfan333darkumbreon88
Wizards vs. Hornets
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $201—Wizards $50