PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
boyaudontworrybaseballTyatsmrmaiqiuyangjia
Record (consensus markets)no settled market61% (110–70, n=180)no settled market65% (34–18, n=52)
Consensus PnL—$49K—$224K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #776was PM monthly #824PM monthly #986was PM monthly #403
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +43 pts n=110, ROI +44%
  • Mentions +39 pts n=17, ROI +63%
  • NFL +20 pts n=104, ROI +17%
  • Tech +30 pts n=19, ROI +40%
  • Soccer +36 pts n=38, ROI +34%
  • NBA +24 pts n=21, ROI +7%
Weakest topic——Elections −3 pts, n=42—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 110 at avg 57¢, ROI +44%67% of 247 at avg 51¢, ROI +13%77% of 78 at avg 45¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—0%30% (won 19% of 74)6% (won 20% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 100% of 24)17% (won 59% of 41)73% (won 86% of 57)
Entries 50–70¢—73% (won 100% of 80)17% (won 93% of 42)21% (won 63% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 6)36% (won 98% of 90)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.