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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boltbison | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (14–12, n=26) | 45% (553–663, n=1216) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (885–467, n=1352) |
| Consensus PnL | $20K | $11.2M | $5.6M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #932 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #21 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 56% (18 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 80% (28 of 35 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 14 at avg 56¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 100% of 3) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.