← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bluemol | christianox | Rin2x | neymar1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 49% (60–63, n=123) | 89% (1742–219, n=1961) | 47% (342–390, n=732) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$102K | $31K | $473K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #941 | PM monthly #230 | was PM monthly #806 | was PM monthly #414 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 91% (21 of 23 open) | 81% (13 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | MMA −1 pts, n=89 | Crypto ±0 pts, n=1249 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 50% of 113 at avg 51¢, ROI −4% | 92% of 1786 at avg 91¢, ROI +2% | 82% of 439 at avg 37¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 17% (won 16% of 19) | 2% (won 13% of 30) | 32% (won 65% of 141) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 31% (won 43% of 35) | 2% (won 40% of 30) | 46% (won 87% of 200) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 28% (won 59% of 32) | 3% (won 51% of 53) | 21% (won 96% of 94) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 24% (won 74% of 27) | 94% (won 95% of 1673) | 1% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bluemol | christianox | Rin2x | neymar1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $98 | — |