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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bluemolssddssdBozos14primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (309–179, n=488)49% (127–133, n=260)49% (813–835, n=1648)
Consensus PnL—$7.8K$7.4K$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #941PM monthly #543was PM monthly #615PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)58% (7 of 12 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—96% of 315 at avg 67¢, ROI +29%100% of 125 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%99% of 740 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 70% of 20)0%5% (won 93% of 40)
Entries 30–50¢—10% (won 91% of 32)49% (won 100% of 61)41% (won 99% of 305)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 98% of 102)48% (won 100% of 60)49% (won 99% of 363)
Entries 70¢ and up—51% (won 99% of 161)3% (won 100% of 4)4% (won 100% of 32)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbluemolssddssdBozos14primm
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $7.4K——