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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4ndb1sainttroplayUnderperformingForALiving
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (870–459, n=1329)no settled market38% (68–109, n=177)
Consensus PnL—$4.2M—$240K
Tracked as—PM monthly #11—PM monthly #140
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (25 of 35 open)no open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • Soccer +19 pts n=24, ROI −2%
  • NHL +12 pts n=18, ROI −1%
Weakest topic—NFL −10 pts, n=132—NBA −24 pts, n=13
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%—50% of 170 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 16% of 160)—19% (won 16% of 32)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 40% of 253)—27% (won 43% of 46)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 57% of 310)—31% (won 60% of 52)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 544)—24% (won 73% of 40)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4ndb1sainttroplayUnderperformingForALiving
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $35—Yes $4