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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4ndb1primmvtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (989–572, n=1561)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)46% (269–316, n=585)
Consensus PnL—$3.2M$3.6M$12K
Tracked as—PM monthly #104PM monthly #46was PM monthly #287
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (61 of 88 open)100% (4 of 4 open)77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%46% of 540 at avg 44¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)41% (won 3% of 223)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)17% (won 34% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)13% (won 78% of 72)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)29% (won 99% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4ndb1primmvtcchampion52
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Dplus KIA $226—Bilibili Gaming $61K
Games Total: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3—Under $1.6K