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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4duratio12Flaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (30–28, n=58)53% (5890–5273, n=11163)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL—$13K$3.3M$5.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #898PM monthly #22PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position68% (130 of 192 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—87% of 62 at avg 54¢, ROI +5%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—15% (won 78% of 9)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 74% of 19)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—31% (won 95% of 19)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 100% of 15)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.