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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | boltbison | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 54% (14–12, n=26) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 66% (901–474, n=1375) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $19K | $9.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #943 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #100 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 85% (29 of 34 open) | 72% (109 of 151 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 14 at avg 56¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 21% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | boltbison | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $407K | No $335K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $278K | Yes $11K |