Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Kishen020ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market72% (125–49, n=174)65% (889–469, n=1358)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL—$31K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #576PM monthly #139PM monthly #26 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)73% (33 of 45 open)63% (180 of 286 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—72% of 186 at avg 66¢, ROI +3%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 67% of 12)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—56% (won 63% of 104)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—37% (won 87% of 69)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.