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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpsainttroplaytugator
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5916–5289, n=11205)no settled market13% (35–240, n=275)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M—$32K
Tracked as—PM monthly #22—PM monthly #808
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (184 of 255 open)no open consensus position88% (84 of 95 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Crypto −34 pts, n=189
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—25% of 225 at avg 54¢, ROI −20%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)—5% (won 0% of 11)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)—74% (won 10% of 167)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)—5% (won 36% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)—16% (won 100% of 36)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.