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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677Scrip-scrip
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5916–5289, n=11205)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (3–3, n=6)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$5.6M$33K
Tracked as—PM monthly #22PM monthly #1PM monthly #702
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (172 of 235 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 3 at avg 61¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)0%
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)0%
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)100% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.