Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankndb1whosay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market44% (574–717, n=1291)63% (991–574, n=1565)59% (1112–788, n=1900)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.2M-$37K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #92was PM monthly #695
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (22 of 25 open)69% (51 of 74 open)50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139Tennis −3 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%58% of 2066 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 15% of 168)11% (won 17% of 229)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)20% (won 39% of 256)26% (won 36% of 541)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)24% (won 58% of 314)28% (won 57% of 578)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)43% (won 93% of 550)35% (won 88% of 718)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankndb1whosay
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $335K—