← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 70% (204–89, n=293) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $11.0M | $5.6M | $61K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #212 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 68% (77 of 114 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — | Crypto ±0 pts, n=133 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 76% of 328 at avg 73¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 12% (won 24% of 38) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 11% (won 44% of 36) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 9% (won 66% of 29) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 69% (won 91% of 225) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.4K | — | No $36K |