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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankglennyorkshirendb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–665, n=1225)45% (173–215, n=388)65% (886–468, n=1354)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$647$4.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2was PM monthly #901PM monthly #143
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)100% (2 of 2 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • NFL +7 pts n=51, ROI −8%
  • MLB +12 pts n=18, ROI +19%
Weakest topic——Soccer −4 pts, n=198NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%53% of 367 at avg 54¢, ROI 0%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)6% (won 13% of 23)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)28% (won 46% of 101)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)48% (won 55% of 177)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 74% of 66)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.