PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xb46ac9ec39dbb68d76ab82aa16ddae7c400717fcsportteryqqNiNo9990xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
Record (consensus markets)50% (1–1, n=2)46% (341–399, n=740)89% (448–56, n=504)92% (701–63, n=764)
Consensus PnL$149$61K$9.6M$14.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #904was PM monthly #985was PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won50% of 2 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%99% of 340 at avg 50¢, ROI +44%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 97% of 35)7% (won 81% of 37)2% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢0%42% (won 99% of 142)39% (won 85% of 197)15% (won 97% of 113)
Entries 50–70¢0%36% (won 98% of 121)49% (won 94% of 244)65% (won 99% of 477)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 1)12% (won 100% of 42)5% (won 96% of 24)17% (won 100% of 127)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xb46ac9ec39dbb68d76ab82aa16ddae7c400717fcsportteryqqNiNo9990xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A
opposite sides · consensus OG
—OG $341—Team Liquid $9.2K