PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
apprentice1500gringo00CORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (6–2, n=8)63% (372–218, n=590)48% (11699–12471, n=24170)
Consensus PnL—$3.5M$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #875was PM monthly #19PM monthly #162Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)69% (9 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—0%9% (won 91% of 35)10% (won 56% of 2452)
Entries 30–50¢—0%55% (won 99% of 209)22% (won 94% of 5319)
Entries 50–70¢—100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 100% of 127)36% (won 99% of 8623)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7308)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.