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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| allen114 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (292–122, n=414) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | -$283K | $7.9M | $5.3M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #699 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 85% (23 of 27 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (53 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 292 at avg 82¢, ROI +6% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 8) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 75% of 8) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 88% of 48) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 98% of 228) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | allen114 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | — | No $335K |