PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
alienwarabadabadootexaskidBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (13737–8492, n=22229)66% (367–187, n=554)67% (469–231, n=700)
Consensus PnL—$15K$7.0M$10.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #972was PM monthly #981was PM monthly #51PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position76% (53 of 70 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +32 pts n=7099, ROI +24%
  • NFL +50 pts n=107, ROI +51%
  • NBA +50 pts n=49, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=272, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29—
Settled positions, side won—85% of 7099 at avg 53¢, ROI +24%75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19%97% of 471 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 17% of 210)1% (won 0% of 3)11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 82% of 1610)26% (won 68% of 148)34% (won 98% of 162)
Entries 50–70¢—71% (won 88% of 5012)69% (won 78% of 392)33% (won 99% of 154)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 96% of 267)4% (won 87% of 23)22% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.