PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
akooll0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-17764292105920x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162LonnieHawkins
Record (consensus markets)no settled market92% (705–64, n=769)95% (1081–60, n=1141)49% (1244–1296, n=2540)
Consensus PnL—$14.4M$42K$326K
Tracked asPM monthly #841was PM monthly #999Hand-pickedPM monthly #112
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +11 pts n=1123, ROI +8%
  • NHL +8 pts n=16, ROI +3%
Weakest topic——Science −5 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won—99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%98% of 1366 at avg 95¢, ROI +1%77% of 1140 at avg 66¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 14)1% (won 29% of 17)16% (won 31% of 182)
Entries 30–50¢—15% (won 97% of 113)1% (won 69% of 13)13% (won 59% of 148)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 99% of 477)2% (won 80% of 30)17% (won 76% of 189)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 127)96% (won 99% of 1306)54% (won 94% of 621)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.