PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ZptmlBreakTheBank00gringo00omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (501–606, n=1107)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (13213–13355, n=26568)
Consensus PnL—$12.1M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #116PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #16
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)70% (23 of 33 open)no open consensus position53% (18 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 85% of 53)0%8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 181)0%21% (won 85% of 2140)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 176)100% (won 86% of 7)38% (won 94% of 3856)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 105)0%32% (won 99% of 3242)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.